摘要:
近年来美国主动采取对华脱钩断链策略,政府部门频繁更新制裁清单并制定严密管制规则。本文整合1997-2024年美国多部门制裁清单数据,揭示了美国对华制裁的主要类型与基本特征。研究发现,自2018年中美贸易战以来,美国对华制裁以贸易管制与金融制裁为主,制裁规模迅速扩张,对中国高科技战略性企业的针对性显著增强。鉴于制裁清单的异质性特征,进一步针对清单运行机制进行剖析,从而构建起覆盖数据细节与具体内涵的美国对华制裁框架。研究结论显示:(1)实体清单作为出口管制的主要工具,通过物项管控体系限制美国关键技术物项的对华出口;(2)特别指定国民清单在贸易与金融领域开展全面制裁,封锁中国实体及其关联企业,阻断其全球供应链网络;(3)涉军清单通过迭代更新,针对中国军工实体实施警惕性的进口管制与投资限制。因此,通过整合高度分散的制裁清单数据,为理解错综复杂的制裁机制做出了边际贡献,也为预测未来的中美经济局势与全球供应链格局提供了理论支撑。
Abstract:
The United States has increasingly implemented decoupling strategies with China, marked by frequent updates to sanctions lists and stricter regulatory frameworks. This paper organizes U. S. sanctions against China from 1997 to 2024, highlighting their key types and characteristics. Since 2018, trade controls and financial sanctions have dominated, with a growing focus on Chinese high-tech and strategic enterprises. Given the heterogeneous characteristics of the sanctions lists, this study further constructs a U. S. sanctions framework against China that captures both detailed data and specific implications, which identifies underlying mechanisms in the sanctions lists:The Entity List serves as a primary tool for export controls, restricting the export of critical U. S. technologies to China. The Specially Designated Nationals List enforces comprehensive trade and financial sanctions, blocking Chinese entities and their affiliates while disrupting global supply chains. The Military Lists impose precautionary import controls and investment restrictions targeting China's defense-related entities. By integrating substantial dispersed sanctions data, this paper constructs a cohesive framework to provide insights into the evolving U. S.-China economic relationship and its impact on global supply chains, offering a theoretical foundation for assessing future geopolitical and economic dynamics.